Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032188 0.035109 0.038043 0.041203 0.044506 0.047850 0.051487
2026-02-01 0.026954 0.031236 0.035674 0.040594 0.045875 0.051352 0.057441
2026-02-08 0.023129 0.028382 0.033988 0.040363 0.047359 0.054759 0.063133
2026-02-15 0.020954 0.027049 0.033721 0.041469 0.050128 0.059428 0.070094
2026-02-22 0.019035 0.025790 0.033360 0.042320 0.052495 0.063566 0.076407
2026-03-01 0.017196 0.024442 0.032751 0.042763 0.054298 0.066998 0.081875
2026-03-08 0.015485 0.023092 0.032014 0.042949 0.055718 0.069930 0.086725
2026-03-15 0.014415 0.022423 0.032002 0.043909 0.057970 0.073755 0.092542
2026-03-22 0.012641 0.020738 0.030657 0.043201 0.058208 0.075223 0.095639
2026-03-29 0.011518 0.019799 0.030156 0.043442 0.059507 0.077869 0.100041
2026-04-05 0.010683 0.019173 0.029994 0.044051 0.061208 0.080952 0.104924
2026-04-12 0.009857 0.018496 0.029720 0.044485 0.062667 0.083731 0.109438
2026-04-19 0.008263 0.016654 0.027884 0.042942 0.061734 0.083718 0.110749
2026-04-26 0.007225 0.015522 0.026921 0.042450 0.062046 0.085151 0.113730
2026-05-03 0.006399 0.014637 0.026239 0.042280 0.062724 0.086999 0.117185
2026-05-10 0.006092 0.014527 0.026599 0.043449 0.065059 0.090829 0.122979
2026-05-17 0.005722 0.014285 0.026758 0.044341 0.067039 0.094229 0.128264
2026-05-24 0.005253 0.013842 0.026606 0.044804 0.068467 0.096954 0.132744
2026-05-31 0.004747 0.013290 0.026271 0.044999 0.069541 0.099238 0.136692
2026-06-07 0.004498 0.013160 0.026532 0.045987 0.071617 0.102741 0.142096
2026-06-14 0.003830 0.012215 0.025552 0.045262 0.071477 0.103517 0.144218
2026-06-21 0.003458 0.011773 0.025299 0.045509 0.072575 0.105801 0.148146
2026-06-28 0.003201 0.011529 0.025327 0.046135 0.074153 0.108673 0.152779